![]() So, if we take the average of the numbers above and the times per game they threw the ball from 2012-2021, we get 36.06, or 36 times per game. Then, from 2012-2021, McDaniels served as the OC for the Patriots yet again. In 2011, as the OC for the Rams, they threw the ball 34.3 times per game. In 2009, as the head coach of the Denver Broncos, the Broncos threw the ball 34.9 times per game. (Now that I think of it, let’s add in his lone full year as a head coach in 2009 for this as well.) In 2008, they threw the ball 33.4 times per game. In 2007, they threw the ball 36.6 times per game. In 2006, the Patriots threw the ball 34 times per game. His first year as an OC was in 2006 with the Patriots, so we’ll start there. How many times will the Raiders throw the ball per game? For this, I am going to look at every year Josh McDaniels was an offensive coordinator to see how many times we could reasonably expect them to throw the ball. The team’s success may end up revolving around Carr, so let’s take a stab at his production in 2022.ĭerek Carr has a career completion percentage of 65%, so I’m going to leave that go. Now getting a second chance, McDaniels has a very good situation in Las Vegas to change the narrative about him as a head coach. Josh McDaniels has always been a quality offensive coordinator but was an awful head coach for the Denver Broncos. I think it’s a safe bet to peg them for a winning record in 2022, but what kind of team will they be? With a Patriots-style offense now in Las Vegas, what kind of production could be expected from Derek Carr in 2022? Carr has always been a solid quarterback, and it now seems like he has genuine stability with the coaching administration.Ĭarr’s numbers weren’t great in 2021, tossing 23 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, but he and the Raiders did do enough to win double-digit games. The biggest reason for this is perhaps Derek Carr, who has been the team’s signal-caller in 2014. However, even after all of that, they still seem to be a clear fourth in the AFC West. They also added names like Davante Adams and Chandler Jones in the NFL free agency period. The Raiders then underwent a big change in the offseason, essentially becoming the New England Raiders with the hiring of Josh McDaniels and new General Manager Dave Ziegler. ![]() In 2021, they went 10-7 and snuck into the NFL playoffs. The Las Vegas Raiders are an interesting team to look at and study. What kind of numbers will he put up in the 2022 season? Mahomes’ ability to bridge that gap with top-tier play is what makes him a perennial MVP candidate.The Las Vegas Raiders are in a new era but are still quarterbacked by Derek Carr. For now, note that three of the four starting quarterbacks in the AFC West rank among the 15 most-betrayed, led by the Los Angeles Chargers’ Justin Herbert (12th on offense, 88th on DST, minus-76 differential) and the Kansas City Chiefs’ Patrick Mahomes (1st on offense, 67th on DST, minus-66 differential). Carr is the 15th-most-betrayed quarterback of the 92, falling between Andrew Luck and Kirk Cousins. The gap between those rankings produces the minus-79 differential shown in the table below.Ĭarr’s Raiders ranked even lower than Brees’ Saints in the DST component, but Carr was “less betrayed” because the Raiders’ offenses were not as good as the Saints’ defenses. This makes sense, because his New Orleans Saints were very good on offense (second-best out of the 92 offenses), and very bad in the DST realm (81st out of the 92). The difference between those rankings informs the Betrayal Index.ĭrew Brees emerges as the “most betrayed” quarterback of the 92 qualifiers since 2000. We then rank all 92 of their combined defense/special-teams (“DST”) units in the same way. To that end, we rank all 92 quarterbacks’ teams by EPA per game on offense in their starts, according to TruMedia. ![]() To determine how much each quarterback was “betrayed” (or not betrayed), we measure how much better (or worse) their teams were on offense than on defense/special teams. This updated version has been expanded to include all 92 quarterbacks entering the league since 2000 and starting more than 20 regular-season games. ![]() That dead-last ranking in the components beyond Carr’s control - defense and special teams - invites an updated look at the “ QB Betrayal Index” published before the season. Since drafting Carr in 2014, the Raiders rank 19th in expected points added (EPA) on offense while ranking 32nd in combined EPA on defense and special teams. Disappointing because the Raiders, for all their attempts to buy happiness, from signing Jon Gruden for $100 million to acquiring superstar receiver Davante Adams, failed to give Carr a baseline level of support from their defense.
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